"Climate Change Science and Technology Decision Making Mechanism
「"Climate Change Science and Technology Decision Making Mechanism」於資料集「EPQSummary_InternationalIssues」由單位「行政院環境保護署」的郭先生所提供，聯繫電話是02-2311-7722 EXT.2399，最近更新時間為：2022-01-15 01:14:16。 欄位Project Title的內容是"Climate Change Science and Technology Decision Making Mechanism and Low Carbon Path Integration Assessment Plan (2/2)" ， 欄位Project Subject的內容是"The project has conducted Taiwan’s long-term low-carbon scenario forecast in five main regions, including economy growth development, and the database of energy and air pollution diffusion by Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) with factor analysis. The results of first stage sectoral simulation and recommendations of low-carbon strategies are accomplished from sectors of energy, industry, resident, service and commerce, and transportation towards 2030 scenario. The assessed results from environmental and energy co-benefits as well as cost analysis reveal notable characteristics difference in five regions.The second year project is to continue using the LEAP model to explore the localized data and input formats required to construct nationally environmental integration assessment model for 2050 scenario. Through utilizing regional analysis by the LEAP model based on the input-output model to simulate low carbon path and mitigation potential; the results of assessment are also further linked to air pollutant diffusion model (CMAQ) and health assessment model (BenMap) for evaluating possible co-benefits. The integrated assessment model is applied with varied models of economy, energy, greenhouse gases (GHGs), airpollution diffusion and health benefits that can provide valuable information regarding to GHG mitigation and air pollution prevention for policymakers from the central authorities and local governments as reference.Under the LEAP modeling framework, the project has expanded and renewed the existing database for further assessment; meanwhile, the energy consumption database of agricultural sector has also added into the database this year. The renewed database in this project are then used for analyzing sectoral GHG emission trends, air pollutant deduction effects, and relevant mitigation costs. In this project, the method of air diffusion model and linked co-benefits on health is constructed from simulated results of the LEAP model. The low-carbonstrategy of energy sector by regions has achieved for evaluating potential environmental impacts and health benefits, which can be further applied to other sectors. To deliberate future possible trends in varied low-carbon scenarios, the simulated results are expressed by variation rate in percentage to baseline scenario including final energy demands, GHG emission amounts and air pollutant emission amounts. The analyzed results reveal that the energy sector contributes more than 47% GHG deduction rate towards 2050 scenario comparedto baseline scenario (BAU) based on the social and economic condition trends of expected annual growth rate of GDP per capita in 2.8% from 2017 to 2050, and average growth rate of population per capita in -0.4%. The remaining sectors also show GHG deduction contributions as follows: industry sector (39.8%), residential sector (4.5%), service ＆ commerce sector (5.1%), transportation (3.5%) and agriculture (0.1%), respectively. Compared to the results from the BAU scenario, most analyzed results of regional air pollutant diffusion assessment show decreasing trends in long-term low-carbon scenario. In the low carbon scenario of the power sector, the improvement in air quality has reduced NTD 48.9 billion of the population death, and the reduction in hospitalized monetization value is about NTD 9.54 million by 2050.In addition, the project has assisted Taiwan EPA to hold “2018 Taiwan-UK Climate Change Forum” in order to explore international information exchange channel for modeling policy development with scholars and expertise to addressing the valuable information for policymakers and international cooperation.The LEAP model has now proven that can provide a convenient platform to assess multiple scenario results with available database and proper social/economy assumption in this project. The helpful results can be refer..." ， 欄位Project Year的內容是2018 ， 欄位Organizer的內容是"Department of Environmental Sanitation ＆amp; Toxic Substance Management" ， 欄位Executive Unit的內容是"財團法人工業技術研究院" ， 欄位Reporting download URL的內容是https://epq.epa.gov.tw/project/filedownload.aspx?fid=198775 ， 欄位Publish Date的內容是20190701 。
Project Title
"Climate Change Science and Technology Decision Making Mechanism and Low Carbon Path Integration Assessment Plan (2/2)"
Project Subject
"The project has conducted Taiwan’s long-term low-carbon scenario forecast in five main regions, including economy growth development, and the database of energy and air pollution diffusion by Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) with factor analysis. The results of first stage sectoral simulation and recommendations of low-carbon strategies are accomplished from sectors of energy, industry, resident, service and commerce, and transportation towards 2030 scenario. The assessed results from environmental and energy co-benefits as well as cost analysis reveal notable characteristics difference in five regions.The second year project is to continue using the LEAP model to explore the localized data and input formats required to construct nationally environmental integration assessment model for 2050 scenario. Through utilizing regional analysis by the LEAP model based on the input-output model to simulate low carbon path and mitigation potential; the results of assessment are also further linked to air pollutant diffusion model (CMAQ) and health assessment model (BenMap) for evaluating possible co-benefits. The integrated assessment model is applied with varied models of economy, energy, greenhouse gases (GHGs), airpollution diffusion and health benefits that can provide valuable information regarding to GHG mitigation and air pollution prevention for policymakers from the central authorities and local governments as reference.Under the LEAP modeling framework, the project has expanded and renewed the existing database for further assessment; meanwhile, the energy consumption database of agricultural sector has also added into the database this year. The renewed database in this project are then used for analyzing sectoral GHG emission trends, air pollutant deduction effects, and relevant mitigation costs. In this project, the method of air diffusion model and linked co-benefits on health is constructed from simulated results of the LEAP model. The low-carbonstrategy of energy sector by regions has achieved for evaluating potential environmental impacts and health benefits, which can be further applied to other sectors. To deliberate future possible trends in varied low-carbon scenarios, the simulated results are expressed by variation rate in percentage to baseline scenario including final energy demands, GHG emission amounts and air pollutant emission amounts. The analyzed results reveal that the energy sector contributes more than 47% GHG deduction rate towards 2050 scenario comparedto baseline scenario (BAU) based on the social and economic condition trends of expected annual growth rate of GDP per capita in 2.8% from 2017 to 2050, and average growth rate of population per capita in -0.4%. The remaining sectors also show GHG deduction contributions as follows: industry sector (39.8%), residential sector (4.5%), service ＆ commerce sector (5.1%), transportation (3.5%) and agriculture (0.1%), respectively. Compared to the results from the BAU scenario, most analyzed results of regional air pollutant diffusion assessment show decreasing trends in long-term low-carbon scenario. In the low carbon scenario of the power sector, the improvement in air quality has reduced NTD 48.9 billion of the population death, and the reduction in hospitalized monetization value is about NTD 9.54 million by 2050.In addition, the project has assisted Taiwan EPA to hold “2018 Taiwan-UK Climate Change Forum” in order to explore international information exchange channel for modeling policy development with scholars and expertise to addressing the valuable information for policymakers and international cooperation.The LEAP model has now proven that can provide a convenient platform to assess multiple scenario results with available database and proper social/economy assumption in this project. The helpful results can be refer..."
Project Year
2018
Organizer
"Department of Environmental Sanitation ＆amp; Toxic Substance Management"
Executive Unit
"財團法人工業技術研究院"
Reporting download URL
Publish Date
20190701
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